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August 16, 2013

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By Andrea

If any semiconductor close bare a absolute balance boost, it was Intel (NASDAQ:INTC). Mired by accidental scandals, arresting accumulation alternation setbacks, and massive aggressive headwinds, Intel banal has not kept clip with rivals. For instance, Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) has skyrocketed about 1,500% in the abaft bristles years. On the added hand, INTC shares haven’t alike doubled.

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But finally, long-embattled stakeholders accept acumen for optimism. A few weeks ago, Intel appear its after-effects for the fourth quarter, hasty assemblage with its robustness. The banderole beats were impressive. Adjoin an earnings-per-share apprehension of $1.25, the technology close delivered $1.52. On the acquirement front, Intel rang up $20.21 billion adjoin accord calling for $19.23 billion.

More importantly, alone segments provided auspicious figures. Intel’s better operating segment, Client Computing Group, generated acquirement of aloof over $10 billion. This booty exceeded the year-ago quarter’s aftereffect by almost 2%. Additionally, the accepted quarter’s account was up conspicuously from the accord appraisal of $9.74 billion.

Further, the Abstracts Center Group, which is amenable for accomplishment abstracts server chips, added sales by about 19% year-over-year to $7.21 billion. This absolute accursed accoutrement analysts’ accord anticipation of $6.4 billion.

This closing achievement was abnormally cogent for Intel in that it approved that Intel’s billow audience assurance the brand. Because of the advantageous attributes of the billow industry, accident of bazaar allotment is a huge concern. For now, it seems that Intel is decidedly on top of its affairs.

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However, not anybody is assertive that Intel banal has the adapted stuff. With abiding problems, AMD can still wreak calamity on its beyond rival. But here, INTC may accept accustomed a chicken banderole of sorts.

If you’re a fan of American auto racing, you’ll apperceive that one of the key differences amid our antagonism leagues and European ones is the role of the chicken flag. In Europe, the chicken banderole denotes attention for a specific allotment of the course. In America, it slows the accomplished acreage to a crawl.

Of course, the primary acumen why American antagonism sports like NASCAR bandy the chicken is for safety. But this act additionally has the conceivably advised aftereffect of authoritative contest added competitive. With the aboriginal abode and last-place cars forcibly bunched together, this bearings causes abundant variability.

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Thus, in NASCAR or Indycar, the fastest disciplinarian doesn’t consistently win. Sometimes, you can be “gifted” a win by actuality in the adapted abode at the adapted time. This is a abnormally adapted description for Intel stock.

Right now, the coronavirus that has devastated China is befitting everybody on edge. Primarily, there’s the actuality that many, if not best semiconductor-related companies aspect best of their acquirement to the region. Second, American firms are shutting bottomward their attendance in China, and we’re talking cogent players.

Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) has shut bottomward all food and accumulated offices out of an “abundance of caution.” Likewise, Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) shut bottomward its China-based stores, as able-bodied as its new Shanghai factory.

Of course, the coronavirus is a widescale tragedy and an bread-and-butter blow. But as’s Darren Allan argues, it disproportionately impacts companies like AMD, which was demography it to addled Intel. Fortuitously, Intel continues to ache accumulation alternation issues. But the de facto abeyance acquired by the coronavirus gives the active close time to regroup.

In the meantime, AMD can alone watch helplessly as the virus’ chicken banderole cuts its advance and momentum.

Although Intel banal has two catalysts – decidedly absolute balance after-effects and a non-recurring industry acquittal – I’m not 100% confident. While I’m about bullish on shares for its recovery-from-the-doldrums narrative, I’m alert in the abreast term.

Why? As I watch the latest updates on the coronavirus, the outbreak’s astonishing dispatch worries me. Aloof a few canicule ago, the absolute cases numbered about 20,000, which is an base figure. At time of writing, CNBC has appear over 37,000 infections and 813 deaths.

For context, both the cardinal of infections and deaths now beat the SARS outbreak, which spanned about eight months. Coronavirus has been at it for aloof over a month.

Moreover, banking experts afraid back the infection statistics were lower that it could abnormally affect China’s economy. Surely now, the appulse will be far worse.

When the beginning assuredly clears, INTC may accept accrued advantages from the coronavirus. But for now, I’d like to get added advice afore activity assertive on Intel stock.

As of this writing, Josh Enomoto did not authority a position in any of the above securities.

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